Golden State Warriors vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as vs conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 89-79-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015 | 9-5-0 | 0.0% | +22.7% |
| 2016 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2017 | 5-8-0 | 0.0% | -26.6% |
| 2018 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2019 | 12-3-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2020 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2021 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2022 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2024 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' mixed performance against conference opponents stems from their unique position as a franchise that has oscillated between championship contender and rebuilding phases over the past decade. When Golden State enters seasons with championship expectations, they tend to elevate their play against Western Conference rivals who represent direct obstacles to their title aspirations. The team's core veterans - Curry, Thompson, and Green - have historically thrived in these meaningful divisional battles where playoff seeding implications run high. However, the Warriors' struggles emerge during transition periods when their roster composition doesn't match their competitive ambitions. Their system relies heavily on precise ball movement and three-point shooting, which can be disrupted by physical Western Conference teams that have studied their tendencies extensively. Conference opponents also benefit from increased familiarity, having faced Golden State's motion offense multiple times per season, allowing them to better prepare defensive schemes. The psychological factor of being the hunted versus the hunter plays significantly into Golden State's conference performance. When expectations are elevated, they often struggle to maintain intensity against familiar opponents who circle Warriors games on their calendar. This trend carries the most weight during the final month of the regular season when playoff positioning intensifies and conference matchups directly impact seeding scenarios.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Golden State Warriors have an 89-79-0 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.0% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as vs conference opponent profitable?
Yes, betting on the Golden State Warriors against conference opponents has been slightly profitable with a 1.1% ROI from 2014-2024. While the profit margin is modest, it represents consistent value over a large sample size of 168 games.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Warriors' 53.0% ATS win rate against conference opponents is above the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. This performance is solid compared to league averages, though the 1.1% ROI indicates only marginal profitability.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.