The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 21-21-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record21-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size42 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-1.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20173-3-00.0%-4.5%
20184-1-00.0%+52.7%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-5-00.0%-68.2%
20213-0-00.0%+90.9%
20223-2-00.0%+14.6%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' mediocre performance with two days rest reflects the inherent challenges of their high-tempo, precision-based system when players have extended time to overthink and potentially lose their natural rhythm. Golden State thrives on instinctive ball movement and split-second decision-making that comes from consistent game flow, but extended rest can disrupt the telepathic chemistry between players like Curry and Green that makes their offense so devastating. The psychological aspect cannot be understated with this franchise. The Warriors have historically been a confidence-driven team that feeds off momentum and crowd energy. Two days of rest often coincides with road trips or schedule breaks that remove them from their home environment and natural rhythm. Additionally, their motion offense requires players to be in sync with subtle timing cues that can become stale during extended layoffs. The negative ROI suggests the betting market hasn't fully adjusted to this pattern, creating potential value when fading Golden State in these spots. Bettors should particularly target games where the Warriors are road favorites with two days rest, as the combination of rust and inflated public perception creates the most profitable opportunities. This trend matters most during playoff races when every game carries heightened importance and the Warriors' championship pedigree inflates their market value.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as two days rest?

The Golden State Warriors have a 21-21-0 ATS record when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents exactly 50% ATS performance over 42 games.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Golden State Warriors with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the even ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Warriors' 50% ATS rate with two days rest is right at the expected break-even point for spread betting. However, the -4.5% ROI indicates slightly worse performance than a typical bettor would expect after accounting for sportsbook margins.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.