Golden State Warriors Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Golden State Warriors hold a record of 155-82-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $59 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 17-9-0 | 0.0% | +24.8% |
| 2015 | 13-8-0 | 0.0% | +18.2% |
| 2016 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2017 | 9-8-0 | 0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2018 | 17-6-0 | 0.0% | +41.1% |
| 2019 | 20-7-0 | 0.0% | +41.4% |
| 2020 | 18-11-0 | 0.0% | +18.5% |
| 2021 | 15-3-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2022 | 14-7-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 12-7-0 | 0.0% | +20.6% |
| 2024 | 9-7-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their championship pedigree creating a perfect storm of motivation and market inefficiency. When nationally televised games cast them as underdogs, it typically signals either injury concerns, rest situations, or temporary roster disruptions that the betting market overreacts to. Golden State's core players have thrived under the brightest lights throughout their dynasty years, treating these showcase games as playoff-like atmospheres where their experience becomes a significant edge. The psychological factor cannot be understated - this franchise has built its identity on proving doubters wrong, dating back to their initial championship run. When oddsmakers question their ability in marquee matchups, it activates the same chip-on-shoulder mentality that fueled their rise. Their offensive system remains potent even with key players sidelined, as their ball movement and three-point shooting can overwhelm opponents who may be overlooking them based on the spread. The market consistently undervalues Golden State's ability to elevate their play in meaningful games, particularly when their championship window narrative suggests decline. Bettors should target this trend when the Warriors are catching points in nationally televised games against elite competition, as these scenarios historically trigger their most inspired performances.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Golden State Warriors have a 155-82-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 65.4% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Warriors as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 24.9% ROI. Their strong 65.4% ATS win rate indicates they consistently outperform expectations in these spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the typical 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The Warriors' 65.4% ATS rate and 24.9% ROI as primetime underdogs represents exceptional value compared to league averages.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.