The public often underestimates the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Golden State Warriors hold a record of 56-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +40.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $31 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record56-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size76 games
ROI+40.7%
Units Won+30.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-3-00.0%+27.3%
20156-1-00.0%+63.6%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20187-3-00.0%+33.6%
201910-1-00.0%+73.5%
20206-3-00.0%+27.3%
20214-0-00.0%+90.9%
20226-1-00.0%+63.6%
20232-4-00.0%-36.4%
20244-2-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their championship-caliber roster being temporarily undervalued by the betting market. When Golden State finds itself getting 3.5 to 7 points, it typically indicates they're facing elite competition on the road or dealing with perceived disadvantages like back-to-back situations or key player rest. However, their core of experienced veterans thrives in these scenarios, treating medium underdog status as disrespect rather than accurate assessment. Steve Kerr's system maximizes talent regardless of circumstances, and the Warriors' three-point shooting variance creates massive upset potential. When they're catching significant points, their offensive ceiling remains sky-high while the cushion protects against their occasional defensive lapses. The team's championship experience also manifests as composure in hostile environments where other teams might crumble under pressure. The psychological edge cannot be understated - this franchise has won titles as favorites, so medium underdog spots feel like opportunities rather than challenges. Their veteran leadership keeps them focused on execution rather than external expectations. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races and nationally televised games, when the Warriors' competitive pride peaks and they're most motivated to prove doubters wrong.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Golden State Warriors have a 56-20-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 73.7% ATS win rate in this situation.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Warriors as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 40.7% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period from 2014-2024.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as typical ATS win rates hover around 50% and positive ROI above 10% is considered strong. The Warriors' 73.7% ATS rate and 40.7% ROI in this spot is elite.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.