The public often underestimates the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Golden State Warriors hold a record of 38-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +18.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record38-23-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size61 games
ROI+18.9%
Units Won+11.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-4-00.0%+21.5%
20154-2-00.0%+27.3%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20172-4-00.0%-36.4%
20185-1-00.0%+59.1%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20203-4-00.0%-18.2%
20215-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from their championship-caliber mentality colliding with market perception. When Golden State enters Chase Center as an underdog after a victory, it typically signals the betting public has overreacted to recent opponent success or undervalued the Warriors' ability to elevate their play in response to disrespect. This franchise, built on a culture of proving doubters wrong, thrives when oddsmakers suggest they can't defend their home court. The psychological edge becomes amplified by Golden State's veteran leadership and their familiarity with championship pressure. Players like Stephen Curry and Draymond Green have consistently demonstrated an ability to channel external skepticism into focused execution, particularly in front of their home crowd. The team's motion offense becomes more crisp when they feel slighted, and their defensive rotations sharpen when pride is on the line. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when the Warriors are catching points due to narrative-driven line movement rather than legitimate talent gaps. Look for spots where recent losses by Golden State or impressive wins by opponents have created inflated spreads. This trend matters most when facing Western Conference rivals or nationally televised games where reputational stakes run highest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Golden State Warriors have a 38-23-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.3% ATS win rate over 61 games.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Warriors as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with an 18.9% ROI. This strong return is supported by their 62.3% ATS success rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 62.3% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The Warriors have been exceptionally reliable in this specific situation over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.