Golden State Warriors Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Golden State Warriors hold a record of 78-39-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $32 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-4-0 | 0.0% | +40.0% |
| 2015 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2016 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 9-2-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2019 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2020 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2022 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2023 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic advantages that amplify their natural strengths. When oddsmakers undervalue Golden State at Chase Center, they're typically doing so because of injury concerns, rest situations, or recent poor form - factors that often matter less for a team built around elite shooting and pace. The Warriors thrive on the energy of their home crowd, which becomes electric when they're perceived as vulnerable, creating an atmosphere that elevates their already potent offensive system. Golden State's motion offense becomes particularly devastating when they're playing with house money as underdogs. Without the pressure of heavy favorite status, their ball movement flows more naturally, and role players tend to step up knowing the spotlight isn't entirely on them. The team's championship pedigree also means they rarely fold under adversity at home, instead using the underdog narrative as motivation to prove doubters wrong. The most actionable insight for bettors is recognizing when the Warriors are home underdogs due to lineup uncertainty rather than fundamental weaknesses. Their system-based approach means they can often overcome personnel issues better than teams reliant on individual talent. This trend carries maximum value when Golden State is catching points at home against quality opponents during the regular season, particularly after perceived "statement" losses on the road.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as home underdog?
The Golden State Warriors have a 78-39-0 ATS record when playing as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.7% ATS win rate over 117 games.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Warriors as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. Despite being underdogs at home, they've consistently outperformed expectations against the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% ATS. The Warriors' 66.7% ATS rate as home underdogs represents exceptional value for bettors over this 10-year period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.