Golden State Warriors Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Golden State Warriors are just 22-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2023 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2024 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from their championship-era mentality colliding with road adversity. This franchise built its dynasty on explosive offensive runs and defensive intensity, but those traits become liabilities when they're expected to bounce back immediately on hostile courts. After a loss, Golden State often presses for quick redemption through their signature three-point barrage, leading to rushed possessions and defensive lapses that savvy home underdogs exploit. The psychological element runs deeper than simple frustration. The Warriors' core players—particularly during their peak years—developed an expectation of dominance that creates additional pressure in bounce-back spots. Road environments amplify this tension, as opposing crowds feed off any early struggles. Teams facing Golden State as home underdogs after the Warriors lost their previous game often play with house money mentality, executing disciplined game plans while the visitors chase their usual rhythm. Smart bettors should consider fading the Warriors in these specific situations, particularly when the spread exceeds six points and they're facing teams with strong home court advantages. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when Golden State lacks playoff urgency and faces motivated opponents looking to make statements against championship-caliber competition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Golden State Warriors have gone 22-31-0 against the spread as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 41.5% ATS win rate over 53 games in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Warriors as away favorites after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -20.8% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against expectations in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Warriors' 41.5% ATS win rate in this situation is below the typical 50% break-even point expected for spread betting. Their performance as away favorites after losses has been significantly worse than average over this 10-year period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.