The data suggests caution when backing the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Golden State Warriors are just 47-75-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record47-75-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size122 games
ROI-26.4%
Units Won-32.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-7-00.0%-11.9%
20153-8-00.0%-47.9%
20163-7-00.0%-42.7%
20174-5-00.0%-15.2%
20183-7-00.0%-42.7%
20195-3-00.0%+19.3%
20206-11-00.0%-32.6%
20212-5-00.0%-45.5%
20226-6-00.0%-4.5%
20233-10-00.0%-55.9%
20246-6-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their high-octane style and the psychological dynamics of playing away from Chase Center. Golden State's three-point heavy offense relies heavily on rhythm and momentum, which becomes exponentially harder to establish in hostile environments where crowds actively disrupt their flow. When favored on the road, opposing teams often elevate their intensity knowing they're facing a marquee opponent, while the Warriors sometimes fall into the trap of expecting their talent advantage to manifest automatically. The team's championship pedigree actually works against them in these spots. Road crowds bring playoff-level energy against Golden State, treating these games as statement opportunities. Meanwhile, the Warriors often start games with less urgency than their opponents, particularly against teams they're expected to beat. Their defensive inconsistencies become magnified on the road, where they can't rely on home crowd energy to fuel comeback attempts. Smart bettors should be particularly wary of backing Golden State as road favorites against teams with strong home court advantages or clubs desperate for signature wins. This trend matters most when the Warriors are laying points against playoff-bubble teams or divisional opponents seeking revenge.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as away favorite?

The Golden State Warriors have an ATS record of 47-75-0 as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 38.5% of games. This translates to a 0.0% win rate against expectations.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Golden State Warriors as away favorites is not profitable. The team has generated a -26.4% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would lose approximately 26 cents for every dollar wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the typical league average for away favorites, which usually ranges around 45-50% ATS. The Warriors' 38.5% cover rate and negative ROI indicate they have consistently failed to meet inflated expectations on the road.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.