Golden State Warriors Away Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Golden State Warriors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Golden State Warriors hold a record of 77-43-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +22.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $27 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2015 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2017 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2018 | 8-4-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2020 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2023 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Warriors' exceptional performance as road underdogs stems from their championship-caliber mental toughness and Steve Kerr's ability to galvanize his team when disrespected by oddsmakers. This franchise has cultivated a culture where being undervalued serves as premium motivation, particularly when playing away from Chase Center. The team's veteran core of Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and Klay Thompson has repeatedly demonstrated an almost spiteful response to being counted out, using the underdog label as fuel for their trademark third-quarter runs. Golden State's offensive system becomes particularly lethal in these spots because opponents often game-plan expecting a more conservative approach from an underdog. Instead, the Warriors unleash their signature pace-and-space attack, catching teams off-guard with their willingness to launch quick threes and push tempo even when trailing. Their championship experience also manifests in crucial late-game situations where lesser teams might fold under pressure. The key betting insight here is recognizing when the Warriors' talent level significantly exceeds their underdog status, creating clear value opportunities. This trend carries maximum weight when Golden State is healthy and facing teams they've historically dominated, regardless of recent form or venue.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as away underdog?
The Golden State Warriors have a 77-43-0 ATS record as away underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 64.2% of games. This represents 120 total games where they were road underdogs during this period.
Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as away underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Golden State Warriors as away underdogs has been highly profitable with a 22.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Their strong 64.2% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS and rarely sustain positive ROI over long periods. The Warriors' 64.2% ATS rate and 22.5% ROI as road underdogs represents elite contrarian value during their championship era.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.