The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as after a win. Since 2014, they're 123-113-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -0.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record123-113-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size236 games
ROI-0.5%
Units Won-1.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201417-11-00.0%+15.9%
201510-8-00.0%+6.1%
20163-10-00.0%-55.9%
20176-8-00.0%-18.2%
201810-13-00.0%-17.0%
201921-7-00.0%+43.2%
202012-18-00.0%-23.6%
202111-8-00.0%+10.5%
202214-9-00.0%+16.2%
202310-12-00.0%-13.2%
20249-9-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' mediocre after-win performance stems from their championship-caliber mentality creating unexpected vulnerabilities. This franchise built its dynasty on relentless consistency, but that same championship pedigree often leads to complacency following victories. Golden State players, accustomed to sustained excellence, can mentally downshift after proving their superiority, particularly against teams they view as inferior competition. Steve Kerr's coaching philosophy emphasizes load management and rotation depth, which frequently results in reduced intensity from core players in follow-up games. The Warriors' offensive system relies heavily on ball movement and three-point shooting, both of which require maximum focus and energy. When that edge diminishes after a satisfying win, their shooting percentages typically drop, and defensive rotations become less crisp, creating value for opponents and their backers. The team's veteran leadership core, while experienced in managing long seasons, sometimes struggles with the emotional regulation needed to maintain peak performance across back-to-back competitive situations. Their fast-paced style also means they expend significant energy in victories, making them more susceptible to flat performances. This trend becomes most exploitable when the Warriors face divisional opponents or teams fighting for playoff positioning immediately after impressive road victories.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as after a win?

The Golden State Warriors have an ATS record of 123-113-0 after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 52.1% ATS win rate over 236 games.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as after a win profitable?

Betting on the Golden State Warriors after a win shows a -0.5% ROI, indicating a slight loss over the long term. While they cover the spread more often than not, the negative ROI suggests the betting value is minimal.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Warriors' 52.1% ATS rate after wins is slightly above the typical 50% expectation, but the -0.5% ROI indicates they may be overvalued by oddsmakers in these situations compared to league average profitability.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.