Detroit Pistons As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Detroit Pistons are just 89-118-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -17.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +17.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-6-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2016 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 5-11-0 | 0.0% | -40.3% |
| 2018 | 4-16-1 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2019 | 7-12-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2020 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
| 2021 | 11-6-0 | 0.0% | +23.5% |
| 2022 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2023 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 3-11-0 | 0.0% | -59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pistons' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and organizational reality. Detroit has operated as a rebuilding franchise for most of this period, yet oddsmakers and bettors consistently overvalue their chances when they're favored against weaker opponents. This creates a classic "bad team getting too much respect" scenario that sharp bettors have exploited for years. Detroit's roster construction has emphasized youth development over winning, meaning their performances often lack the consistency needed to cover spreads as favorites. Young players are inherently volatile, and the Pistons have frequently fielded lineups where inexperience leads to poor execution in crucial moments. When favored, they face opponents with nothing to lose, creating dangerous letdown spots where effort and focus wane. The franchise's coaching turnover and constant roster churn have prevented the development of a winning culture that translates to covering numbers. Teams struggling to establish identity often play down to competition level rather than imposing their will on supposedly inferior opponents. The key betting insight here is to fade Detroit as home favorites against teams with better recent form, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games. This trend carries the most weight when the Pistons are favored by 3-7 points against teams coming off strong performances.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as as favorite?
The Detroit Pistons have an ATS record of 89-118-1 when favored from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 43.0% ATS win rate over 208 games as favorites.
Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as favorites has been unprofitable with a -17.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Bettors would have lost nearly 18% of their investment backing Detroit when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as favorites typically cover around 48-50% of the time. The Pistons' 43.0% ATS rate as favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA over this period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.