The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Detroit Pistons are just 24-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -19.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +19.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record24-33-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size57 games
ROI-19.6%
Units Won-11.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20155-4-00.0%+6.1%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20171-6-00.0%-72.7%
20181-7-00.0%-76.1%
20192-4-00.0%-36.4%
20204-1-00.0%+52.7%
20212-2-00.0%-4.5%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20241-4-00.0%-61.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pistons' struggles as away favorites after losses stem from a franchise culture that has lacked consistent leadership and mental fortitude throughout much of the past decade. Detroit's rebuild mentality has created a team that often fails to respond with urgency following defeats, particularly when thrust into the uncomfortable position of being road chalk. The psychological burden of being favored away from home after a loss creates a perfect storm for underperformance, as young players and inconsistent veterans struggle with the dual pressure of bouncing back while carrying betting market expectations. Detroit's roster construction during this period has consistently featured players better suited for underdog roles rather than favorites. The franchise's emphasis on development over winning has created teams that perform better when expectations are low, making the away favorite spot after a loss particularly challenging. The Pistons have historically struggled with road focus and discipline, issues that become magnified when they're expected to control games in hostile environments following disappointing performances. Bettors should be especially cautious backing Detroit in this spot when they're favored by more than four points, as the psychological weight becomes even heavier. This trend carries the most significance during the middle portion of the season when Detroit's young core faces the grind of a long campaign and motivation can waver.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Detroit Pistons have a 24-33-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.1% ATS win rate over 57 games.

Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The strategy shows a -19.6% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time. The Pistons' 42.1% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate poor performance in this specific situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.