The data suggests caution when backing the Detroit Pistons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Detroit Pistons are just 48-65-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record48-65-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size113 games
ROI-18.9%
Units Won-21.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-4-00.0%+14.6%
20159-7-00.0%+7.4%
20167-6-00.0%+2.8%
20171-9-00.0%-80.9%
20182-10-00.0%-68.2%
20194-6-00.0%-23.6%
20204-7-00.0%-30.6%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
20226-5-00.0%+4.1%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20241-7-00.0%-76.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pistons' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and organizational reality during their rebuilding years. Detroit has operated as a development-focused franchise, prioritizing young player growth over consistent execution in pressure situations. When oddsmakers install them as road favorites, they're often overvaluing recent home performances or individual player improvements while underestimating how poorly this translates to hostile environments where execution becomes paramount. Detroit's roster construction during this period has emphasized potential over proven veteran leadership, creating a team that wilts under the pressure of being expected to win on the road. Young cores typically struggle with the mental demands of closing games in unfamiliar arenas, especially when facing motivated underdogs playing with house money. The Pistons have also shown a pattern of inconsistent effort and focus, traits that become magnified when they're supposed to be the superior team. The most actionable insight for bettors is to fade Detroit as road favorites when they're catching a number smaller than their recent average margin of victory, as this indicates the market is overreacting to small sample performances. This trend matters most early in seasons when optimism around young talent peaks before reality sets in.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Detroit Pistons's ATS record as away favorite?

The Detroit Pistons have a 48-65-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 42.5% of games. This represents 113 total games where Detroit was favored on the road.

Is betting on the Detroit Pistons as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Detroit Pistons as away favorites is not profitable, showing a -18.9% ROI over the 10-year period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Detroit in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the typical league average of around 50% ATS for away favorites. The Pistons' 42.5% cover rate and -18.9% ROI indicates they consistently fail to meet expectations when favored on the road.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.