The public often underestimates the Denver Nuggets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Denver Nuggets hold a record of 112-80-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $22 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record112-80-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size192 games
ROI+11.4%
Units Won+21.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-4-00.0%+32.2%
201511-10-00.0%0.0%
20167-11-00.0%-25.8%
201712-8-00.0%+14.6%
201811-6-00.0%+23.5%
20197-5-00.0%+11.4%
20209-7-00.0%+7.4%
202114-6-00.0%+33.6%
202210-7-00.0%+12.3%
202313-9-00.0%+12.8%
20249-7-00.0%+7.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nuggets' strong underdog performance stems from their unique identity as a team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Denver has historically been undervalued by oddsmakers due to their small-market status and altitude advantage that casual bettors often overlook. When positioned as underdogs, the Nuggets benefit from reduced pressure and the natural chip-on-the-shoulder mentality that has defined their franchise culture. Nikola Jokic's emergence as a two-time MVP exemplifies this dynamic perfectly. His unconventional style and late draft position mirror the team's broader narrative of exceeding expectations. The Nuggets play their best basketball when they can dictate pace and exploit mismatches, which becomes easier when opponents potentially overlook them or fail to prepare adequately for Denver's altitude and unique offensive system. The team's home court advantage at altitude becomes amplified in underdog spots, as visiting teams may struggle more than anticipated while Denver feeds off the energy of proving doubters wrong. Their depth and veteran leadership allow them to maintain composure in these situations. This trend carries the most weight when Denver is catching points at home against elite opponents, particularly in nationally televised games where the motivation factor peaks and the altitude advantage compounds oddsmakers' potential oversight.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as as underdog?

The Denver Nuggets have a 112-80-0 ATS record when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 58.3% ATS win rate over 192 games.

Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Denver Nuggets as underdogs has been profitable with an 11.4% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 58.3% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Nuggets' 58.3% ATS win rate as underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This makes them one of the more reliable underdog bets in the NBA over this timeframe.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.