Denver Nuggets On a 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Denver Nuggets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game losing streak, the Denver Nuggets are just 203-217-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 20-12-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2015 | 15-17-0 | 0.0% | -10.5% |
| 2016 | 21-21-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 19-22-0 | 0.0% | -11.5% |
| 2018 | 16-16-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 15-22-0 | 0.0% | -22.6% |
| 2020 | 13-26-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 29-23-0 | 0.0% | +6.5% |
| 2022 | 18-12-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 19-20-0 | 0.0% | -7.0% |
| 2024 | 18-26-0 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nuggets' struggles during extended losing streaks stem from their heavy reliance on offensive rhythm and ball movement. When Denver falls into a funk, their typically fluid passing game becomes stagnant, leading to forced shots and decreased efficiency from their star players. The team's identity revolves around Nikola Jokic orchestrating the offense, but during losing streaks, opponents key in on disrupting his passing lanes and forcing other players to create offense independently. Denver's coaching staff has historically been slow to make significant tactical adjustments during rough patches, often sticking with their system even when it's clearly not working. This stubbornness can extend losing streaks as the team continues running plays that opponents have figured out. The Nuggets also tend to develop defensive lapses during these stretches, as players press on offense and lose focus on the other end. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. Denver has shown a tendency to play tight in crucial moments during losing streaks, with role players becoming hesitant to take open shots and stars forcing the action. This creates a cascade effect where the team's natural chemistry deteriorates. This trend becomes most significant when Denver faces teams with strong defensive schemes that can exploit their predictable offensive sets during vulnerable stretches.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?
The Denver Nuggets have an ATS record of 203-217-0 when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.3% ATS win rate over 420 games.
Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Nuggets when on a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a -7.7% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 48.3% ATS performance is slightly below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The -7.7% ROI indicates underperformance compared to typical ATS expectations, though specific league average data for this situation would be needed for precise comparison.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.