Denver Nuggets Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend

The Nuggets' success as large underdogs stems from their unique roster construction and organizational philosophy under coach Michael Malone. Denver typically finds itself in these spots against elite coastal teams or during challenging road stretches, situations where their deep rotation and unselfish ball movement create matchup problems for overconfident opponents. The team's European-influenced style, anchored by Nikola Jokic's playmaking, tends to slow games down and keep them competitive even when talent-disadvantaged. Denver's altitude advantage at home cannot be understated when they're catching significant points. Visiting teams often struggle with conditioning in the thin air, particularly in back-to-back situations or late-season games when fatigue becomes a factor. The Nuggets also possess strong veteran leadership that prevents emotional letdowns, while their analytical front office historically builds rosters designed to compete regardless of circumstances. The psychological element plays heavily here - when Denver is getting 7.5+ points, it's usually because the market views them as severely outmatched. This creates value opportunities as the team rarely quits and has the offensive firepower to stay within striking distance. This trend carries most weight during playoff races when Denver's motivation peaks and in home games where altitude provides maximum advantage.