Denver Nuggets Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Denver Nuggets show mixed results as away vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 11-11-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nuggets' mediocre road performance against division rivals stems from the unique challenges of playing elite competition in hostile environments within the competitive Northwest Division. Denver's altitude advantage disappears on the road, neutralizing one of their key home-court benefits while facing teams like Portland, Oklahoma City, Minnesota, and Utah that know their system intimately from multiple meetings each season. Denver's methodical, half-court offensive approach often struggles in away environments where crowd noise disrupts their precise ball movement and Nikola Jokic's court vision becomes less effective. Division rivals have extensive scouting reports on the Nuggets' tendencies, particularly how to pressure their role players who tend to shrink in hostile road atmospheres. The team's reliance on rhythm shooting from players like Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray becomes more inconsistent when facing familiar defensive schemes designed specifically to counter their strengths. The psychological factor of playing teams they see four times annually creates additional pressure, as these games carry extra weight for playoff seeding within the division. Bettors should approach Denver road spreads against division opponents with caution, particularly when the line suggests oddsmakers haven't fully accounted for these situational disadvantages. This trend matters most during the season's final month when division standings determine playoff positioning and every possession carries heightened intensity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Denver Nuggets have an 11-11-0 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a .500 ATS winning percentage over 22 games.
Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Denver Nuggets as away vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the even ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Nuggets' 50% ATS win rate against division rivals on the road is slightly below the expected league average of approximately 52.4% needed to break even after accounting for standard betting juice.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.