Denver Nuggets Away Underdog on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Denver Nuggets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog on zero rest, the Denver Nuggets hold a record of 10-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +27.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nuggets' strong performance as away underdogs on zero rest stems from their championship-caliber roster construction and veteran leadership that thrives under adversity. Denver's core of Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and seasoned role players has consistently demonstrated an ability to elevate their game when expectations are lowest. The back-to-back scheduling creates a unique dynamic where oddsmakers often overcompensate for fatigue concerns, particularly when Denver is already catching points on the road. Jokic's exceptional basketball IQ and conditioning allow him to maintain elite production even on tired legs, while the team's championship experience has instilled a mentality where they embrace the underdog role. The Nuggets have historically played with more urgency and focus when facing adversity, treating these challenging spots as opportunities to prove doubters wrong rather than obstacles to overcome. The key betting insight lies in recognizing when Denver faces quality opponents in these situations, as the line value becomes most pronounced against teams the market respects. This trend carries the most weight when the Nuggets are catching 4+ points on the road with zero rest, as the combination of underdog points and championship pedigree creates optimal betting conditions against public perception.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Denver Nuggets's ATS record as away underdog on zero rest?
The Denver Nuggets have a 10-5-0 ATS record as away underdog on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.7% ATS win rate over 15 games.
Is betting on the Denver Nuggets as away underdog on zero rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Denver Nuggets as away underdog on zero rest has been highly profitable with a 27.3% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance has generated consistent value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 66.7% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdogs. The 27.3% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to most betting trends which often show negative or single-digit returns.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.