Dallas Mavericks Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Dallas Mavericks are just 14-41-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -51.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +51.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2018 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2023 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mavericks' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and tactical predictability that has plagued the franchise across multiple eras. Dallas has historically been a front-running team that feeds off momentum and crowd energy, making them particularly vulnerable when forced to bounce back in hostile environments where they're expected to dominate. The pressure of being favored away from home after already failing to meet expectations creates a mental burden that this organization has consistently failed to handle. Strategically, the Mavericks have often relied heavily on offensive rhythm and three-point shooting, both of which become unreliable on the road when confidence is already shaken from a recent loss. Their defensive schemes, typically designed around protecting leads rather than creating stops, fall apart when they can't establish early control. The team's veteran-heavy rosters over the years have shown a tendency to overthink situations rather than play instinctively, leading to hesitant execution in crucial moments. Smart bettors should target Dallas opponents in these exact scenarios, particularly when the spread is inflated due to the Mavericks' talent level. This trend carries maximum weight when Dallas is favored by more than four points on the road after losing at home, where the psychological impact compounds most severely.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Dallas Mavericks have a 14-41-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 25.5% ATS win rate across 55 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The team has produced a -51.4% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically win around 50% of games as favorites. The Mavericks' 0.0% win rate and -51.4% ROI in this spot represents one of the worst situational trends in the database.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.