Dallas Mavericks Away After 2+ Wins Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Dallas Mavericks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Dallas Mavericks are just 113-129-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2015 | 10-13-0 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| 2016 | 14-8-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2017 | 14-19-0 | 0.0% | -19.0% |
| 2018 | 13-17-0 | 0.0% | -17.3% |
| 2019 | 1-13-0 | 0.0% | -86.4% |
| 2020 | 9-8-0 | 0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2021 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2022 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2024 | 14-11-0 | 0.0% | +6.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mavericks' struggles as road favorites after multiple wins stem from a combination of psychological complacency and the NBA's inherent competitive balance. Dallas has historically been a team that relies heavily on offensive rhythm and home-court advantages, particularly during their championship years and recent playoff runs. When riding a winning streak on the road, the Mavericks often face opponents with nothing to lose and everything to prove, creating a dangerous dynamic where Dallas enters with inflated expectations while their opponents play with desperation. The franchise's offensive-minded philosophy, built around star players like Dirk Nowitzki historically and Luka Dončić currently, tends to travel less effectively than defensive systems. Road environments disrupt the precise timing and chemistry that Dallas's complex offensive sets require, especially when they're expected to dominate. Additionally, the Mavericks have shown a pattern of mental letdowns in spots where they're heavily favored, often playing down to competition rather than maintaining the intensity that fueled their winning streaks. Sharp bettors should target Dallas's road opponents in these situations, particularly when facing teams with strong home records or those coming off disappointing losses. This trend carries the most weight when the Mavericks are laying significant points on the road after winning multiple games by comfortable margins.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dallas Mavericks's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?
The Dallas Mavericks have a 113-129-0 ATS record when playing away after 2+ wins from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.7% ATS win rate over 242 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away after 2+ wins profitable?
No, betting on the Dallas Mavericks as away after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -10.9% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Dallas in this specific scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 46.7% ATS win rate is below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS betting. The Mavericks have consistently underperformed against the spread in this situation over the 10-year period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.