The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 130-132-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.3%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record130-132-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size262 games
ROI-5.3%
Units Won-13.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-13-00.0%-39.7%
201512-13-00.0%-8.4%
201613-12-00.0%-0.7%
201717-12-00.0%+11.9%
201816-13-00.0%+5.3%
201912-19-00.0%-26.1%
20209-7-00.0%+7.4%
20218-6-00.0%+9.1%
202215-10-00.0%+14.6%
202312-16-00.0%-18.2%
202410-11-00.0%-9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

Cleveland's neutral performance against non-conference opponents stems from their tendency to approach these matchups with inconsistent intensity levels. The Cavaliers often struggle with the unfamiliarity factor when facing teams they only see twice per year, lacking the detailed scouting reports and tactical adjustments that come naturally against divisional rivals. This creates a leveling effect where Cleveland sometimes underperforms against weaker Western Conference teams while occasionally rising to meet elite opponents they rarely face. The franchise's coaching philosophy under different regimes has emphasized division-focused preparation, meaning non-conference games often serve as experimental periods for rotations and strategies. This approach particularly impacts their ability to cover spreads, as betting markets frequently overvalue Cleveland's recent conference performance when setting lines against unfamiliar opponents. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Cleveland's non-conference spreads often reflect their conference form rather than their actual approach to these specific matchups. Sharp money tends to fade Cleveland when they're laying significant points against non-conference opponents, especially during stretches of strong divisional play. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when conference standings create urgency, making non-conference games feel like lower-stakes affairs despite their playoff seeding implications.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 130-132-0 ATS record when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.6% ATS win rate over 262 total games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -5.3% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Cleveland in these matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Cavaliers' 49.6% ATS win rate against non-conference teams is slightly below the typical 50% break-even point expected in sports betting. Their -5.3% ROI suggests underperformance compared to league averages in non-conference games.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.