Cleveland Cavaliers Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Cleveland Cavaliers show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 142-142-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-13-1 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2015 | 10-16-0 | 0.0% | -26.6% |
| 2016 | 13-11-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2017 | 11-14-0 | 0.0% | -16.0% |
| 2018 | 16-9-0 | 0.0% | +22.2% |
| 2019 | 13-15-0 | 0.0% | -11.4% |
| 2020 | 21-8-0 | 0.0% | +38.2% |
| 2021 | 7-13-0 | 0.0% | -33.2% |
| 2022 | 14-13-0 | 0.0% | -1.0% |
| 2023 | 16-13-0 | 0.0% | +5.3% |
| 2024 | 10-17-0 | 0.0% | -29.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' mediocre performance with extended rest reflects a fundamental tension between physical recovery and competitive rhythm that has plagued this franchise across different roster constructions. Cleveland's identity has consistently centered around high-energy, defensive intensity and fast-break opportunities generated by their aggressive defensive schemes. When sitting for three or more days, this energy-dependent system loses its edge, as players struggle to recapture the physical and mental sharpness that drives their defensive rotations and transition game. The psychological aspect proves equally damaging. Cleveland teams have historically thrived on momentum and emotional peaks, whether during LeBron's championship runs or the current young core's development. Extended layoffs interrupt this emotional continuity, leaving players mentally flat against opponents who may be more battle-tested from recent competition. The coaching staff's preparation methods appear less effective when players have too much time to overthink rather than react instinctively. Bettors should target Cleveland as fade candidates when they're favored off long rest, particularly in home games where public perception inflates their value. This trend becomes most critical during playoff races and after All-Star breaks when extended rest periods coincide with heightened expectations and market overreactions to their improved health.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have an ATS record of 142-142-1 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly even 50% win rate against the spread over 285 games.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers with three or more days rest is not profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI despite the even ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses due to betting juice/vig over this 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below the league average, as most teams typically hover around 50% ATS with minimal negative ROI. The Cavaliers' -4.5% ROI suggests they may be slightly overvalued by oddsmakers in extended rest situations.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.