Cleveland Cavaliers Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Cleveland Cavaliers show mixed results as home favorite on zero rest. Since 2014, they're 6-6-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' mediocre performance as home favorites on zero rest stems from their historically heavy reliance on veteran leadership and aging superstars during their championship-contending years. When LeBron James anchored this franchise, Cleveland's system demanded high basketball IQ and precise execution rather than pure athleticism, making them particularly vulnerable to the physical and mental fatigue that comes with back-to-back situations. Cleveland's home court advantage at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse has traditionally been built on crowd energy and rhythm shooting, both of which suffer when legs are tired from travel and previous games. The team's offensive schemes have consistently required crisp ball movement and patient shot selection, elements that deteriorate significantly when players are operating on minimal recovery time. This creates a perfect storm where the betting public overvalues Cleveland's home court edge while underestimating how fatigue disrupts their systematic approach. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Cleveland's struggles intensify when facing well-rested opponents who can exploit their diminished defensive rotations and force contested shots early in possessions. This trend becomes most critical when Cleveland is laying significant points against teams with superior depth, as the Cavaliers' shortened rotation becomes a liability in maintaining consistent energy throughout four quarters.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Cleveland Cavaliers are 6-6-0 against the spread as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 50% ATS win rate over 12 games in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as home favorites on zero rest is not profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI. Despite their even 6-6 ATS record, the negative return indicates losses due to betting juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below league average for home favorites on zero rest, which typically ranges around 52-55% ATS. The Cavaliers' 50% ATS rate and negative ROI suggest they struggle to cover spreads in back-to-back home situations as favorites.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.