Cleveland Cavaliers Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Cleveland Cavaliers hold a record of 48-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +36.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $25 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2016 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2017 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 10-1-0 | 0.0% | +73.5% |
| 2021 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2024 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cleveland Cavaliers' exceptional performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a perfect storm of psychological and situational factors that create significant betting value. When oddsmakers install Cleveland as home underdogs after a victory, they're typically responding to the opponent's superior talent level or recent form, but they're undervaluing the Cavaliers' ability to channel momentum and crowd energy into focused execution. Cleveland's organizational culture has historically emphasized resilience and proving doubters wrong, dating back to their championship years. This mentality becomes amplified when they're disrespected by the betting market at home after demonstrating competence with a recent win. The combination of confidence from their previous victory and the motivation of being overlooked creates an ideal competitive environment. The Cavaliers also benefit from their home court advantage at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, where the crowd feeds off underdog energy more intensely than typical home games. Players tend to elevate their effort level when they feel both confident and disrespected simultaneously. For bettors, this trend offers the most value when Cleveland is catching points against Western Conference opponents or teams on lengthy road trips, where the visiting squad may underestimate a motivated Cavaliers team riding recent success.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have an outstanding 48-19-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 71.6% ATS win rate over 67 games.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cavaliers as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 36.8% ROI. This represents exceptional value over the 10-year period analyzed.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 71.6% ATS win rate significantly outperforms typical league averages, which generally hover around 50%. The Cavaliers have shown remarkable consistency in this specific situational spot.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.