Cleveland Cavaliers Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Cleveland Cavaliers hold a record of 96-44-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +30.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $43 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2015 | 9-6-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2016 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2017 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2018 | 10-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 9-4-0 | 0.0% | +32.2% |
| 2020 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2021 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2024 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' dominance as home underdogs stems from a potent combination of playing with house money mentality and Cleveland's historically underestimated roster depth. When oddsmakers favor visiting teams at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, they're often overlooking the Cavs' ability to elevate their defensive intensity in front of their home crowd. Cleveland's coaching staff has consistently excelled at game-planning against superior opponents, using their familiarity with home court dimensions and crowd energy to neutralize talent disparities. The psychological edge runs deeper than typical home court advantage. Cleveland fans create an electric atmosphere when their team is written off, and the players feed off that underdog energy. The franchise's championship DNA from the LeBron era established a culture of rising to big occasions, something that persists even as the roster has evolved. Role players consistently outperform expectations in these spots, while the team's defensive schemes become more aggressive and unpredictable. Smart bettors should target Cleveland home underdog spots when they're facing teams on the second night of back-to-backs or squads with poor road defensive metrics. This trend carries maximum value during nationally televised games and playoff races when motivation peaks and the crowd energy reaches fever pitch.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as home underdog?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have an outstanding 96-44-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 68.6% of games. This represents 140 total games where they were favored to lose at home but performed better than expected against the spread.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 30.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This means a $100 bet on every Cavaliers home underdog game would have returned $30.90 in profit over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the typical league average for home underdogs, which usually covers around 50% of the time. The Cavaliers' 68.6% cover rate and 30.9% ROI represents exceptional value in this specific betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.