Cleveland Cavaliers As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 99-157-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-13-1 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| 2015 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2016 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2017 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 10-14-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2019 | 6-19-0 | 0.0% | -54.2% |
| 2020 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2021 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2022 | 12-17-0 | 0.0% | -21.0% |
| 2023 | 8-16-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
Cleveland's struggles as a favorite stem from the franchise's historical tendency to play down to competition and struggle with expectations management. The Cavaliers have consistently shown a pattern of inconsistent effort when favored, particularly against teams they're expected to handle easily. This psychological dynamic reflects a young roster that often lacks the veteran leadership necessary to maintain focus against inferior opponents. The team's coaching staff has frequently rotated over this period, creating instability in game preparation and in-game adjustments that becomes magnified when Cleveland enters as the betting favorite. The Cavaliers tend to rely heavily on individual talent rather than systematic execution, which works against stronger opponents who force them to elevate their play, but fails against weaker teams where complacency creeps in. Cleveland's home court advantage has been inconsistent throughout this stretch, with the fanbase's energy directly correlating to playoff expectations. When the team is favored at home, particularly in regular season games, they've shown a troubling tendency to start slow and fail to cover spreads even in victories. This trend matters most during regular season divisional games and when Cleveland is favored by more than six points, where their historical underperformance becomes a significant betting opportunity for contrarian bettors.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as as favorite?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have an ATS record of 99-157-1 when favored from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 38.5% ATS win rate over 257 games as favorites.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as favorites is not profitable. Their -26.2% ROI indicates significant losses, meaning bettors would lose approximately $26 for every $100 wagered over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Cavaliers' 38.5% ATS rate as favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA during this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.