Cleveland Cavaliers Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 58-99-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-6-1 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2015 | 4-12-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2017 | 6-10-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2018 | 8-8-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 5-11-0 | 0.0% | -40.3% |
| 2020 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2021 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 5-11-0 | 0.0% | -40.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cavaliers' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and their actual road identity. Cleveland has historically been a team built around defensive intensity and role player execution, qualities that translate poorly when expected to dominate inferior opponents away from home. When installed as favorites on the road, the betting market often overvalues their recent home success or star power while underestimating how much their system relies on Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse's energy and familiar surroundings. This dynamic becomes particularly pronounced against teams with nothing to lose. Underdog opponents naturally elevate their effort against a favored Cavaliers squad, while Cleveland often struggles to match that desperation level. Their offensive execution, which can look crisp at home, becomes more methodical and predictable in hostile environments where communication breaks down and role players shrink from the moment. The psychological burden of being expected to win on the road has consistently weighed heavy on Cleveland rosters that lack true alpha scorers who can take over games. When facing adversity in the second half, they've shown a tendency to tighten up rather than impose their will. This trend carries the most betting significance when Cleveland is favored by 3-6 points on the road against teams with strong home records or recent momentum.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as away favorite?
The Cleveland Cavaliers have a 58-99-1 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 36.7% of games. This represents poor performance against the betting line when favored on the road.
Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away favorites is not profitable, showing a -29.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This significant negative return indicates consistent underperformance relative to betting expectations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads over time. The Cavaliers' 36.7% cover rate as away favorites represents a significant underperformance compared to standard expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.