The data suggests caution when backing the Cleveland Cavaliers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away after 2+ wins, the Cleveland Cavaliers are just 120-146-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record120-146-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size267 games
ROI-13.9%
Units Won-36.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-15-10.0%-19.2%
20158-15-00.0%-33.6%
20168-12-00.0%-23.6%
201711-13-00.0%-12.5%
201814-13-00.0%-1.0%
201911-14-00.0%-16.0%
202014-7-00.0%+27.3%
202110-9-00.0%+0.5%
202216-18-00.0%-10.2%
202310-15-00.0%-23.6%
20247-15-00.0%-39.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cavaliers' struggles as road favorites following consecutive wins stem from a combination of psychological letdown and the inherent challenges of maintaining intensity away from home. Cleveland teams have historically battled consistency issues when expectations rise, and this pattern reflects a franchise tendency to play down to competition after building momentum. The psychological weight of being favored on the road creates additional pressure that often manifests in sluggish starts or lapses in defensive intensity. Cleveland's roster construction over the years has typically favored players who thrive in underdog scenarios rather than those who excel when carrying the burden of expectations. The team's offensive schemes often rely on rhythm and flow that can be disrupted by hostile road environments, particularly when opponents are motivated by facing a confident, winning Cavaliers squad. The franchise's young core in recent seasons has shown particular vulnerability to emotional swings, struggling to maintain the killer instinct needed to cover spreads as road chalk. Bettors should target Cleveland's road opponents in these spots, especially when the Cavaliers are laying points against desperate teams or divisional rivals. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when Cleveland has established winning streaks but hasn't yet developed the playoff-tested mental toughness to consistently handle road favorite situations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Cleveland Cavaliers's ATS record as away after 2+ wins?

The Cleveland Cavaliers have an ATS record of 120-146-1 when playing away after 2+ consecutive wins from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.1% ATS win rate over 267 total games.

Is betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away after 2+ wins profitable?

No, betting on the Cleveland Cavaliers as away after 2+ wins is not profitable, showing a -13.9% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Cleveland in this specific situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 45.1% ATS win rate is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The substantial negative ROI suggests this is a particularly poor betting spot for the Cavaliers.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.