The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bulls in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Chicago Bulls are just 138-150-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record138-150-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size288 games
ROI-8.5%
Units Won-24.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-12-00.0%-4.5%
201515-14-00.0%-1.2%
201611-15-00.0%-19.2%
201714-13-00.0%-1.0%
201815-10-00.0%+14.6%
201911-16-00.0%-22.2%
20209-14-00.0%-25.3%
202113-18-00.0%-19.9%
202215-12-00.0%+6.1%
202313-13-00.0%-4.5%
202410-13-00.0%-17.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bulls' struggles with extended rest appear rooted in rhythm disruption rather than physical recovery benefits. Chicago has historically been a team that thrives on momentum and consistent playing patterns, particularly during their more competitive seasons. When given three or more days off, the Bulls often lose the defensive intensity and offensive flow that characterizes their better performances. This pattern reflects a broader organizational tendency toward inconsistency that has plagued Chicago throughout different roster iterations. Extended rest periods seem to amplify the team's existing weaknesses rather than allowing them to regroup strategically. The coaching staff's ability to maintain focus during longer breaks has been questionable, with players often appearing rusty in their first game back, particularly in executing defensive rotations and maintaining offensive spacing. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. Chicago teams have frequently shown they perform better when playing with urgency and shorter preparation windows, suggesting they're more reactive than methodical in their approach. This creates value opportunities for sharp bettors who recognize when the market overvalues the supposed benefit of rest for this particular franchise. This trend becomes most significant when the Bulls return from extended breaks against well-rested opponents who can exploit Chicago's typical slow starts and defensive lapses.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bulls's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Chicago Bulls have gone 138-150-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.9% ATS win rate over 288 total games.

Is betting on the Chicago Bulls as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bulls with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -8.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Chicago in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Bulls' 47.9% ATS win rate with extended rest is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The -8.5% ROI suggests they consistently struggle to cover spreads when well-rested compared to typical NBA teams.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.