The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bulls in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Chicago Bulls are just 22-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.2%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record22-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size54 games
ROI-22.2%
Units Won-12.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-3-00.0%-100.0%
20151-3-00.0%-52.3%
20166-2-00.0%+43.2%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20192-5-00.0%-45.5%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20210-6-00.0%-100.0%
20223-3-00.0%-4.5%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bulls' struggles as home favorites following losses stem from a franchise caught between competitive aspirations and rebuilding reality. When Chicago loses a game, they often face the pressure of bouncing back in front of their home crowd, but this expectation frequently exceeds their actual talent level. The organization's tendency to overvalue veteran leadership and middling talent has created rosters that look competitive enough to warrant favoritism but lack the depth and star power to consistently deliver. Chicago's front office decisions have historically prioritized short-term competitiveness over sustainable excellence, resulting in teams that generate false confidence from oddsmakers. When the Bulls lose, particularly at home, they're fighting both the psychological weight of disappointment and the fundamental limitations of their roster construction. The United Center crowd expects immediate redemption, but these Bulls squads often lack the offensive firepower or defensive consistency to meet those expectations against motivated opponents getting points. Smart bettors should target this spot when the Bulls are favored by 3-7 points after home losses, especially against teams with recent momentum. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when Chicago's limitations become most apparent and their playoff positioning remains uncertain.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bulls's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?

The Chicago Bulls have gone 22-32-0 against the spread as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 40.7% ATS win rate over 54 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Chicago Bulls as home favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bulls as home favorites after a loss has not been profitable. This trend shows a -22.2% ROI, meaning bettors would have lost significant money following this strategy over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Bulls' 40.7% ATS rate in this spot represents a notable negative trend that savvy bettors have exploited by betting against them.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.