The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bulls in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Chicago Bulls are just 18-39-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -39.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +39.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record18-39-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size57 games
ROI-39.7%
Units Won-22.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-4-00.0%-36.4%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-5-00.0%-68.2%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20181-4-00.0%-61.8%
20191-4-00.0%-61.8%
20203-6-00.0%-36.4%
20212-2-00.0%-4.5%
20221-3-00.0%-52.3%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20243-7-00.0%-42.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bulls' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and organizational instability that has plagued the franchise since their championship era ended. Chicago teams have historically shown poor mental resilience when dealing with adversity on the road, where the absence of home crowd support amplifies their tendency to play tight and overthink situations. This psychological burden becomes particularly acute when they're expected to bounce back as favorites, creating unrealistic pressure that young and inexperienced rosters have consistently failed to handle. The franchise's frequent coaching changes and roster turnover since 2014 have prevented the development of a strong road identity or veteran leadership capable of steadying the ship after setbacks. Bulls teams in this scenario often lack the mental toughness to impose their will on opponents, instead playing reactively and allowing inferior teams to dictate tempo and energy. The betting market has been slow to adjust to Chicago's consistent inability to respond positively to adversity away from home. Bettors should target fading the Bulls in this exact spot, particularly when they're small road favorites of 3 points or fewer against teams with recent home success. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when new Bulls rosters haven't yet proven their mental fortitude.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bulls's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Chicago Bulls have an 18-39-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 31.6% ATS win rate over 57 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Chicago Bulls as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bulls as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The team has generated a -39.7% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average for away favorites after a loss. The Bulls' 31.6% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently fail to cover spreads in this specific scenario.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.