The data suggests caution when backing the Chicago Bulls in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Chicago Bulls are just 34-74-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -39.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +39.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record34-74-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size108 games
ROI-39.9%
Units Won-43.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-7-00.0%-57.6%
20155-4-00.0%+6.1%
20161-8-00.0%-78.8%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20181-5-00.0%-68.2%
20193-7-00.0%-42.7%
20205-9-00.0%-31.8%
20215-4-00.0%+6.1%
20223-12-00.0%-61.8%
20232-6-00.0%-52.3%
20245-9-00.0%-31.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bulls' historically poor performance as road favorites stems from a fundamental mismatch between market perception and their actual road capabilities. Chicago has consistently struggled with the mental aspects of being favored away from home, often playing down to inferior competition while lacking the veteran leadership needed to maintain focus in hostile environments. Their young core over this period frequently exhibited the classic trap of assuming games would be easier than they actually were, leading to sluggish starts and poor execution in crucial moments. Chicago's roster construction during this span emphasized athleticism over basketball IQ, creating a team that could compete with elite opponents through sheer effort but struggled to impose their will on lesser teams. The Bulls' defensive schemes, which relied heavily on energy and intensity, proved difficult to sustain consistently on the road, particularly when facing motivated underdogs playing with house money. Their offensive sets also became predictable against teams that had ample time to prepare for a favored opponent. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Chicago's road favorite struggles intensify against teams with strong home court advantages or those coming off emotional losses. This trend matters most when the Bulls are small road favorites (3 points or less) against teams with winning home records, where the psychological edge heavily favors the underdog.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Chicago Bulls's ATS record as away favorite?

The Chicago Bulls have a 34-74-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 31.5% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in this situation over the past decade.

Is betting on the Chicago Bulls as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Chicago Bulls as away favorites is highly unprofitable with a -39.9% ROI. This means for every $100 wagered, bettors would lose approximately $40 on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Bulls' 31.5% cover rate as away favorites is exceptionally poor and well below standard expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.