Charlotte Hornets vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Charlotte Hornets are just 25-42-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -28.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +28.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2017 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2024 | 0-7-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hornets' struggles against division opponents stem from a toxic combination of psychological pressure and strategic limitations that compound when facing familiar foes. Division games carry heightened intensity and familiarity breeds contempt - opponents know Charlotte's tendencies intimately, particularly their defensive breakdowns in clutch situations and tendency to rely too heavily on individual shot-making rather than systematic execution. Charlotte's roster construction has consistently favored offensive talent over defensive versatility, creating matchup nightmares against division rivals who've had multiple opportunities to study their weaknesses. The Southeast Division features teams like Miami and Orlando that excel at exploiting defensive lapses, while Atlanta's pace-and-space approach consistently overwhelms the Hornets' switching schemes. The psychological weight of division standings adds another layer, as these games feel more consequential to players who often press and abandon their offensive flow. The franchise's youth movement in recent years has exacerbated these issues, with inexperienced players struggling to handle the emotional intensity of heated division rivalries. Young cores typically perform worse in high-pressure divisional matchups where veteran leadership becomes crucial. This trend carries the most betting significance during the season's final two months when division standings intensify and Charlotte's youth shows most prominently under pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Charlotte Hornets have a 25-42-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 37.3% ATS win rate over 67 total games.
Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -28.8% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents significant losses for bettors backing Charlotte in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the typical 50% ATS expectation, as the Hornets' 37.3% ATS win rate against division rivals is significantly worse than league average. The -28.8% ROI indicates substantial underperformance in these matchups.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.