The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the Charlotte Hornets are just 132-139-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record132-139-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size271 games
ROI-7.0%
Units Won-19.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-13-00.0%-4.5%
201517-11-00.0%+15.9%
20166-15-00.0%-45.5%
201711-11-00.0%-4.5%
201817-7-00.0%+35.2%
20199-16-00.0%-31.3%
202011-13-00.0%-12.5%
202116-8-00.0%+27.3%
202212-15-00.0%-15.2%
20239-19-00.0%-38.6%
202411-11-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hornets' struggles with extended rest reflect a franchise-wide issue with maintaining rhythm and intensity after layoffs. Charlotte has historically been a team that thrives on momentum and pace, particularly during their more successful seasons under different coaching regimes. When forced to sit idle for three or more days, they consistently lose the aggressive defensive pressure and offensive flow that defines their better performances. This pattern stems from Charlotte's roster construction over the years, which has typically featured younger, energy-dependent players who need consistent game action to stay sharp. The organization's frequent coaching changes and lack of veteran leadership have compounded this issue, as there's been insufficient stability to develop proper preparation routines for extended breaks. Players like LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges perform best when playing instinctively rather than overthinking, and extra rest often leads to mechanical, disjointed basketball. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. Charlotte has operated as an underdog franchise for most of this sample period, and extended rest seems to amplify their tendency to play tentatively rather than with the desperate energy that makes them competitive. This trend becomes most valuable when betting against Charlotte coming off All-Star breaks, extended road trips, or schedule gaps during playoff races when the pressure is highest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Charlotte Hornets have an ATS record of 132-139-0 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.7% cover rate over 271 games.

Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets with three or more days rest is not profitable, showing a -7.0% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Charlotte in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Hornets' 48.7% ATS cover rate with extended rest is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. While not drastically poor, it still represents underperformance against the spread in this specific situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.