Charlotte Hornets Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Charlotte Hornets hold a record of 48-26-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +23.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $18 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2017 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2022 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hornets' success as medium underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a scrappy, young team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Charlotte has historically been built around athletic guards and versatile forwards who can create chaos in transition, making them particularly dangerous when opponents might overlook them in the +3.5 to +7 range. This sweet spot allows the Hornets to benefit from inflated lines while avoiding the massive spreads that often indicate truly lopsided matchups. Charlotte's roster construction typically emphasizes speed and three-point shooting, creating a volatile style that can quickly erase moderate deficits. When facing quality opponents as medium underdogs, the Hornets often benefit from reduced defensive pressure and more open looks, as teams may not game-plan as intensively for what appears to be a manageable opponent. The franchise's perpetual rebuilding mode also means younger players frequently get extended minutes in these spots, bringing energy that veteran-heavy favorites sometimes struggle to match. Bettors should target Charlotte as medium underdogs specifically in home games and against teams on back-to-backs, where the energy differential becomes most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when playoff positioning creates natural letdown spots for favored opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Charlotte Hornets have a 48-26-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 64.9% ATS win rate over 74 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as medium underdogs has been highly profitable with a 23.8% ROI. Their 64.9% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Hornets' 64.9% ATS win rate as medium underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This represents one of the stronger betting trends for underdogs in this point spread range.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.