The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Charlotte Hornets are just 11-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -30.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +30.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record11-19-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size30 games
ROI-30.0%
Units Won-9.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-4-00.0%-61.8%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20182-3-00.0%-23.6%
20190-2-00.0%-100.0%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20240-3-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hornets' struggles against division rivals at home stem from a combination of familiarity breeding contempt and Charlotte's historical identity crisis as a franchise. Division opponents know the Hornets intimately, having faced them multiple times per season, which neutralizes any home-court advantage Charlotte might otherwise enjoy. The Southeast Division features teams like Miami and Atlanta that have consistently maintained stronger organizational cultures and coaching stability, while Charlotte has cycled through rebuilds and coaching changes that create inconsistent game-planning against familiar foes. Charlotte's home venue has rarely provided the intimidating atmosphere that other NBA arenas generate, particularly against division rivals who travel well or simply don't respect the Hornets' competitive threat. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on individual talent rather than cohesive team systems becomes more exploitable when facing coaches who've had multiple opportunities to study their tendencies throughout the season. The psychological weight of expectation also plays a role - home games against division rivals carry playoff implications and fan expectations that this young franchise has historically wilted under. Bettors should target Charlotte's division home games when the Hornets are coming off emotional wins or facing teams with superior coaching staffs. This trend matters most during the final third of the season when division games carry heightened importance for playoff positioning.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The Charlotte Hornets have an 11-19-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 36.7% ATS win rate over 30 games.

Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home vs division rival profitable?

No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets at home vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -30.0% ROI with a 0% win rate. This trend indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in these matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the typical 50% league average for ATS records. The Hornets' 36.7% ATS rate in home division games represents substantial underperformance compared to standard expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.