Charlotte Hornets Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Charlotte Hornets are just 14-35-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -45.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +45.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2017 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hornets' struggles as home favorites following losses stem from a franchise-wide pattern of inconsistent leadership and emotional volatility that has plagued Charlotte across multiple coaching regimes. When this young, talent-limited roster faces the pressure of being expected to bounce back at home, they often compound their problems with poor shot selection and defensive breakdowns. The franchise's historical lack of veteran leadership means there's rarely a steadying presence to guide the team through adversity, particularly when the betting market expects them to respond positively. Charlotte's offensive system has consistently relied on individual talent rather than cohesive schemes, making them vulnerable when players press to make up for previous poor performances. The Spectrum Center crowd, while supportive, doesn't provide the intimidating home-court advantage that other venues offer, leaving the team without that extra boost when they're already mentally fragile from a recent loss. Smart bettors should target the opposing team when Charlotte is a home favorite after any loss, especially when the spread is relatively small. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when playoff positioning becomes relevant but the team hasn't yet been mathematically eliminated from contention.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The Charlotte Hornets have a 14-35-0 ATS record as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 28.6% ATS win rate over 49 games.
Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home favorites after a loss is not profitable. The strategy shows a -45.5% ROI, meaning bettors would lose nearly half their investment over time.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average for home favorites after a loss. The 28.6% ATS win rate is well below the typical 50% expectation, making it one of the worst situational trends in the database.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.