The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Charlotte Hornets are just 38-57-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record38-57-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size95 games
ROI-23.6%
Units Won-22.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-5-00.0%+4.1%
20156-9-00.0%-23.6%
20163-8-00.0%-47.9%
20172-4-00.0%-36.4%
20183-6-00.0%-36.4%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20221-7-00.0%-76.1%
20234-6-00.0%-23.6%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hornets' struggles as home favorites stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the killer instinct needed to close out games they're expected to win. Charlotte's young, high-energy roster often plays up to superior competition but fails to maintain focus against perceived inferior opponents. This psychological dynamic creates a perfect storm where the team's natural pace-and-space offense becomes careless with turnovers, while their already questionable defense becomes even more porous when they assume victory is assured. Charlotte's home court advantage at Spectrum Center has never been particularly intimidating, lacking the hostile environment that can help mediocre teams punch above their weight. The franchise's perpetual rebuilding mode means players are often more concerned with individual development than team success, leading to inconsistent effort levels when facing teams they should handle easily. Their recent improved form suggests some maturation, but the underlying issues of defensive inconsistency and late-game execution remain problematic. Smart bettors should fade Charlotte as home favorites when they're laying more than 4.5 points against teams with winning records on the road. This trend becomes most critical during the middle portion of the season when complacency peaks and playoff positioning isn't yet urgent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as home favorite?

The Charlotte Hornets have a 38-57-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 40% of games. This represents 95 total games where they were favored at home.

Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as home favorites is not profitable, with a -23.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This means bettors would have lost approximately $236 for every $1,000 wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the league average, as home favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Hornets' 40% cover rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently fail to meet expectations when favored at home.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.