The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Charlotte Hornets are just 75-121-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -26.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +26.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record75-121-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size196 games
ROI-26.9%
Units Won-52.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-10-00.0%-15.2%
201513-16-00.0%-14.4%
20163-15-00.0%-68.2%
20176-9-00.0%-23.6%
20188-10-00.0%-15.2%
20199-8-00.0%+1.1%
20205-13-00.0%-47.0%
20214-6-00.0%-23.6%
20226-10-00.0%-28.4%
20237-16-00.0%-41.9%
20246-8-00.0%-18.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hornets' struggles as favorites reflect a franchise caught in perpetual mediocrity, where expectations consistently outweigh execution. Charlotte has historically been a team that plays better with house money than with pressure, lacking the veteran leadership and clutch-time composure necessary to close out games they're supposed to win. Their young core often gets overwhelmed by the weight of being favored, leading to sloppy possessions and defensive lapses against supposedly inferior opponents. The franchise's organizational instability compounds this issue. Frequent coaching changes and roster turnover have prevented the development of a winning culture that translates to covering spreads when favored. Charlotte's offense becomes predictable when teams game-plan specifically to stop them, and their defense lacks the consistency to bail them out during cold shooting stretches. The team's reliance on individual talent over systematic execution becomes glaring when oddsmakers expect them to control games. Smart bettors should consider fading Charlotte when they're laying points, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds contempt and underdogs play with extra motivation. This trend matters most during stretches when the Hornets show signs of improvement but haven't yet proven they can handle elevated expectations consistently.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as as favorite?

The Charlotte Hornets have an ATS record of 75-121-0 as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 38.3% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in a favored role over this period.

Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -26.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 27 cents for every dollar wagered on the Hornets when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, where teams typically cover around 50% of spreads as favorites. The Hornets' 38.3% cover rate and -26.9% ROI represents one of the poorest favorite performances in the NBA over this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.