The data suggests caution when backing the Charlotte Hornets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Charlotte Hornets are just 16-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -37.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +37.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record16-33-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size49 games
ROI-37.7%
Units Won-18.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20152-3-00.0%-23.6%
20160-4-00.0%-100.0%
20171-4-00.0%-61.8%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20201-6-00.0%-72.7%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20232-4-00.0%-36.4%
20241-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hornets' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a franchise-wide pattern of mental fragility and inconsistent leadership. Charlotte has historically lacked the veteran presence and championship culture necessary to bounce back from adversity on hostile territory. When they're favored away from home after a defeat, the psychological weight of expectations compounds with their natural tendency toward emotional volatility. The organization's perpetual rebuilding cycles have created a roster mentality where players haven't developed the mental toughness required to handle being the hunted team in enemy territory. Charlotte's young core often plays tight when carrying the burden of favoritism, particularly after absorbing a confidence-damaging loss. Their offense becomes predictable and hesitant, while defensive rotations lose their edge against motivated underdogs playing with house money. The coaching turnover throughout this sample period has also prevented the development of consistent game-planning and adjustment strategies. Different systems and philosophies have left players uncertain about their roles in pressure situations, leading to the kind of disjointed performances that consistently fail to cover spreads. This trend carries the most weight when Charlotte faces teams with strong home crowds and veteran leadership, especially in back-to-back situations where fatigue amplifies their mental weaknesses.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Charlotte Hornets's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Charlotte Hornets have a 16-33-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 32.7% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the Charlotte Hornets as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Charlotte Hornets as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, with a -37.7% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting and likely underperforms the league average significantly. The 32.7% win rate indicates the Hornets consistently fail to cover spreads in this specific situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.