Brooklyn Nets Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Brooklyn Nets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Brooklyn Nets are just 18-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Brooklyn Nets' struggles against division rivals at home stem from the unique pressure cooker environment these matchups create in the Atlantic Division. When facing teams like Boston, New York, Philadelphia, and Toronto, the Nets often find themselves in emotionally charged games where familiarity breeds contempt. Division opponents have extensive scouting reports on Brooklyn's tendencies, particularly their defensive rotations and transition patterns, making it easier to exploit weaknesses that might go unnoticed against unfamiliar Western Conference teams. Brooklyn's home court advantage diminishes significantly in these scenarios because division rivals' fan bases travel well to Barclays Center, creating a more hostile environment than typical home games. The Nets have historically struggled with defensive consistency, and division opponents capitalize on this by running specific sets designed to attack Brooklyn's switching schemes and create mismatches in the paint. The psychological weight of division standings adds another layer of complexity. These games carry extra importance for playoff positioning, leading to tighter, lower-scoring affairs that often fall short of inflated totals. For bettors, this trend becomes most valuable during the final two months of the regular season when division positioning intensifies and the Nets face increased pressure to perform at home against familiar foes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Brooklyn Nets's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Brooklyn Nets have an 18-20-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.4% ATS win rate over 38 games.
Is betting on the Brooklyn Nets as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Brooklyn Nets at home vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -9.6% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 47.4% ATS win rate is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The -9.6% ROI suggests the Nets have been a poor betting choice in home division rivalry games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.