Brooklyn Nets Home Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Brooklyn Nets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Brooklyn Nets are just 35-67-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -34.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +34.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2016 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2017 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2018 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2024 | 1-9-0 | 0.0% | -80.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nets' struggles as home favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and team identity. Brooklyn has operated as a franchise in perpetual transition, cycling through star players, coaching philosophies, and organizational strategies at a dizzying pace. This instability creates inflated betting lines when they're favored at home, as the market often overvalues name recognition and recent roster moves while underestimating the team's lack of cohesive chemistry and defensive consistency. Brooklyn's home court advantage has been particularly compromised by their tendency to play down to inferior competition. The Barclays Center atmosphere, while energetic, hasn't translated into the kind of intimidating environment that helps mediocre teams exceed expectations against weaker opponents. The franchise's star-heavy approach often leads to complacent performances against teams they're expected to beat, while their defensive schemes remain vulnerable to well-prepared underdogs who can exploit their inconsistent effort levels. Smart bettors should view Brooklyn home favorites with extreme skepticism, particularly when the spread exceeds single digits. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season against sub-.500 opponents, where the Nets' motivation and focus historically wane.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Brooklyn Nets's ATS record as home favorite?
The Brooklyn Nets have a 35-67-0 ATS record when favored at home from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 34.3% of games. This represents one of the worst home favorite ATS performances in the league over this period.
Is betting on the Brooklyn Nets as home favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Brooklyn Nets as home favorites has been extremely unprofitable with a -34.5% ROI from 2014-2024. A $100 bet on the Nets to cover in each game would have resulted in a loss of $34.50 per game on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as home favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Nets' 34.3% cover rate as home favorites is among the worst in the NBA over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.