Boston Celtics Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Boston Celtics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Boston Celtics hold a record of 25-9-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +40.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $14 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Celtics' dominance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their tendency to elevate their play when disrespected by oddsmakers. Boston has historically thrived on the underdog mentality, particularly when the spread suggests a close game where they're barely not favored. This psychological edge often manifests in sharper execution and increased defensive intensity. From a strategic standpoint, small underdog situations typically occur when Boston faces quality opponents on the road or during back-to-back scenarios where public perception slightly favors their opponent. The Celtics' veteran leadership and coaching staff excel at making in-game adjustments, which becomes particularly valuable in these tightly contested matchups where every possession matters. The team's depth and versatility allow them to match up effectively against various playing styles, making them dangerous when books view games as virtual coin flips. Their ability to control pace and execute in clutch situations gives them an edge in games where the margin for error is minimal. This trend carries the most weight when Boston is catching small numbers against Western Conference teams or division rivals where familiarity breeds competitive games but public perception slightly favors the opponent.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Celtics's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Boston Celtics have a 25-9-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 73.5% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Boston Celtics as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Boston Celtics as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with a 40.4% ROI. This strong return is driven by their excellent 25-9 ATS performance in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Celtics' 73.5% ATS win rate as small underdogs significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for ATS performance. Their 40.4% ROI also substantially outperforms standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.