Boston Celtics Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Boston Celtics in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Boston Celtics hold a record of 65-46-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +11.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $13 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2015 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2017 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2021 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2022 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2024 | 6-1-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Celtics' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a potent combination of pride and tactical advantages that transform TD Garden into a fortress when expectations are low. Boston's championship pedigree creates an inherent psychological edge when oddsmakers doubt them at home - the franchise's 17 NBA titles and passionate fanbase generate an almost defiant energy that elevates their play beyond what the betting line suggests. Tactically, the Celtics benefit from superior coaching preparation when facing supposedly superior opponents at home. Brad Stevens and now Joe Mazzulla have consistently maximized home court advantages through strategic adjustments, while the team's depth allows them to exploit mismatches that visiting teams may not have fully scouted. The parquet floor's unique dimensions and sight lines also provide subtle but meaningful advantages for a team intimately familiar with every bounce and angle. The psychological factor cannot be understated - Boston players historically respond to disrespect with elevated intensity, particularly when their home crowd rallies behind them as underdogs. This creates a perfect storm where motivation meets opportunity in a controlled environment. This trend matters most when the Celtics face elite Western Conference teams or division rivals during nationally televised games, where pride and preparation converge with maximum home court energy.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boston Celtics's ATS record as home underdog?
The Boston Celtics have a 65-46-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 58.6% ATS win rate over 111 total games.
Is betting on the Boston Celtics as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Boston Celtics as home underdogs has been profitable with an 11.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently covered the spread at a strong rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Celtics' 58.6% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 11.8% ROI indicates strong value betting opportunities in this specific situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.