Atlanta Hawks vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Atlanta Hawks are just 71-79-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 8-8-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2018 | 12-8-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-13-0 | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| 2021 | 10-4-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2022 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 7-9-0 | 0.0% | -16.5% |
| 2024 | 9-9-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' mediocre performance against the spread versus conference opponents stems from their inconsistent identity as a franchise caught between rebuilding and competing. Atlanta's young core, led by Trae Young's explosive offensive capabilities, creates inflated public expectations that oddsmakers have learned to exploit. The team's defensive vulnerabilities become magnified against familiar Eastern Conference opponents who have extensive scouting reports and understand how to neutralize Young's pick-and-roll dominance. Conference games carry heightened intensity and playoff implications, yet the Hawks have struggled with mental toughness in crucial moments. Their home-heavy schedule advantages get neutralized when facing division rivals multiple times per season, as opponents adjust their game plans more effectively in subsequent matchups. The franchise's coaching instability over recent years has also contributed to tactical inconsistencies against teams that have maintained more stable systems. The dramatic swing between their best and worst seasons reflects a roster in constant flux, making it difficult for bettors to establish reliable patterns. Sharp money often fades Atlanta in conference matchups where their youth and inexperience become liabilities against veteran-laden Eastern Conference squads. This trend matters most during the final month of the regular season when conference seeding intensifies and the Hawks face increased pressure in must-win scenarios against familiar opponents.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Atlanta Hawks have a 71-79-0 against the spread (ATS) record when playing conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.3% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Hawks against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -9.6% return on investment (ROI). This negative ROI indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Hawks in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Hawks' 47.3% ATS win rate against conference opponents is below the typical 50% league average expected in efficient betting markets. Their -9.6% ROI significantly underperforms compared to the break-even point most teams should approach over large sample sizes.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.