The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Atlanta Hawks are just 25-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record25-32-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size57 games
ROI-16.3%
Units Won-9.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20153-3-00.0%-4.5%
20160-7-00.0%-100.0%
20172-5-00.0%-45.5%
20184-2-00.0%+27.3%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20200-4-00.0%-100.0%
20216-2-00.0%+43.2%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20241-4-00.0%-61.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Hawks' struggles on one day of rest reflect a franchise that has historically lacked the depth and conditioning necessary to maintain competitive intensity on compressed schedules. Atlanta's roster construction over the past decade has often featured aging veterans or young players still developing their professional stamina, creating a team particularly vulnerable to the physical demands of back-to-back situations. The psychological component runs deeper than mere fatigue. Atlanta has consistently been a team that relies heavily on rhythm and flow, particularly in their offensive sets. When forced to play without adequate recovery time, the Hawks lose the crisp ball movement and defensive rotations that define their identity. Their coaching staff has repeatedly struggled to find effective rotation patterns that preserve key players while maintaining competitive lineups during these compressed windows. The franchise's home-road split becomes magnified on one day rest, as travel compounds the physical toll. Atlanta's relatively young fan base and inconsistent home court advantage means they can't rely on crowd energy to overcome tired legs the way more established franchises might. Bettors should target Hawks opponents when Atlanta is playing their second game in two nights, particularly when the spread suggests a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as one day rest?

The Atlanta Hawks have a 25-32-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 43.9% ATS win rate over 57 games.

Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as one day rest profitable?

No, betting on the Atlanta Hawks on one day of rest is not profitable, showing a -16.3% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Hawks in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Hawks' 43.9% ATS win rate on one day of rest is below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS betting. Their performance in this spot has been consistently poor over the 10-year sample.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.