Atlanta Hawks Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Atlanta Hawks hold a record of 20-11-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +23.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2017 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' exceptional home performance against division rivals stems from their ability to leverage State Farm Arena's unique atmosphere and their roster's defensive versatility. Atlanta has historically thrived when they can control pace and utilize their athletic wings to disrupt familiar offensive schemes. Division games carry heightened intensity, and the Hawks feed off crowd energy while opponents struggle with the building's acoustics and sight lines that can affect shooting rhythm. Trae Young's court vision becomes particularly lethal against division foes who see him multiple times per season. Teams often overcompensate defensively for his three-point range, opening driving lanes and creating favorable matchups for Atlanta's role players. The Hawks' coaching staff also benefits from extended preparation time for these crucial games, allowing them to exploit specific weaknesses they've identified through repeated matchups. Atlanta's home court advantage amplifies when facing Southeast Division opponents who must travel and deal with the psychological pressure of playing spoiler in a hostile environment. The Hawks have consistently shown they elevate their defensive intensity in these contests, forcing turnovers that fuel their transition offense. This trend carries maximum weight during the middle portion of the season when division standings begin crystallizing and every home game becomes crucial for playoff positioning.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Atlanta Hawks have a 20-11-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 64.5% ATS win rate over 31 games.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as home vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Atlanta Hawks at home vs division rivals has been highly profitable with a 23.2% ROI. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance has generated consistent returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 64.5% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical league average of around 50% for ATS performance. The Hawks' 23.2% ROI in this situation represents exceptional value compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.