Atlanta Hawks As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Hawks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Atlanta Hawks are just 97-142-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-15-0 | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| 2015 | 8-15-0 | 0.0% | -33.6% |
| 2016 | 4-13-0 | 0.0% | -55.1% |
| 2017 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 13-13-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2020 | 8-16-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 16-10-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2022 | 9-8-0 | 0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2023 | 6-11-0 | 0.0% | -32.6% |
| 2024 | 10-14-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Hawks' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental organizational identity crisis that has persisted across multiple coaching changes and roster overhauls. Atlanta has consistently been caught between competing philosophies - trying to play an uptempo, offense-first style while lacking the defensive foundation necessary to close out games when expected to win. This creates a dangerous dynamic where the Hawks often build early leads through their explosive offensive capabilities, only to see opponents methodically chip away as Atlanta's defensive lapses compound under the pressure of protecting a spread. The franchise's reliance on high-usage offensive players like Trae Young exemplifies this issue perfectly. When Atlanta enters games as favorites, opponents specifically game-plan to slow their pace and force half-court execution, neutralizing the transition offense that fuels their best performances. The Hawks have repeatedly shown they struggle to adjust mid-game when their initial offensive burst doesn't translate to sustainable leads. Smart bettors should consistently look to fade Atlanta when they're laying significant points at home, particularly against defensively disciplined opponents who can dictate tempo. This trend becomes most critical when the Hawks are favored by 6+ points against teams with strong defensive metrics, as these scenarios perfectly expose Atlanta's inability to grind out methodical victories.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Atlanta Hawks's ATS record as as favorite?
The Atlanta Hawks have a 97-142-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 40.6% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team as favorites over this period.
Is betting on the Atlanta Hawks as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Atlanta Hawks as favorites is not profitable, showing a -22.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost approximately 22.5 cents for every dollar wagered on Atlanta when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as favorites typically cover around 50% of the time. The Hawks' 40.6% ATS rate as favorites ranks among the poorest in the NBA over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.