Washington Nationals vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Washington Nationals show mixed results as vs non-conference opponent. Since 2014, they're 237-227-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -2.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 28-29-0 | 0.0% | -6.2% |
| 2015 | 25-18-0 | 0.0% | +11.0% |
| 2016 | 17-14-0 | 0.0% | +4.7% |
| 2017 | 13-21-0 | 0.0% | -27.0% |
| 2018 | 16-22-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2019 | 21-15-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2020 | 31-22-1 | 0.0% | +11.7% |
| 2021 | 19-24-0 | 0.0% | -15.6% |
| 2022 | 19-19-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 24-18-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2024 | 24-25-0 | 0.0% | -6.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational identity as a National League team built around situational hitting and strategic pitching changes. When facing American League clubs, Washington consistently underperforms expectations because their roster construction doesn't translate well to AL-style power baseball and designated hitter dynamics. The team's pitchers, accustomed to facing opposing hurlers in the ninth spot, suddenly encounter deeper lineups with professional hitters throughout. Washington's front office has historically prioritized versatility and defensive positioning over raw offensive production, creating lineups that excel in NL small-ball scenarios but struggle to generate runs against AL pitching staffs designed to attack more aggressively. The psychological element compounds this issue - Nationals players often approach interleague play with less familiarity and comfort, leading to tentative at-bats and defensive miscommunications. The negative ROI reflects consistent market overvaluation of the Nationals' regular-season success, as oddsmakers fail to account for these stylistic mismatches. Bettors should target fading Washington when they're favored against AL opponents, particularly in home games where the DH rule isn't in effect. This trend matters most during June interleague series when unfamiliarity peaks and roster adjustments haven't yet been made.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Washington Nationals have a 237-227-1 ATS record when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 51.1% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
Betting on the Washington Nationals against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -2.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite covering the spread slightly more than half the time, the negative return indicates poor value in the betting lines.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Nationals' 51.1% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is slightly above the theoretical 50% break-even point but below what's needed for profitability. The -2.5% ROI suggests underperformance relative to typical league expectations for sustained betting success.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.