Washington Nationals vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Washington Nationals are just 152-173-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 11-12-1 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2016 | 13-17-0 | 0.0% | -17.3% |
| 2017 | 9-19-0 | 0.0% | -38.6% |
| 2018 | 18-14-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2019 | 14-23-0 | 0.0% | -27.8% |
| 2020 | 14-20-0 | 0.0% | -21.4% |
| 2021 | 17-17-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 16-16-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 14-9-0 | 0.0% | +16.2% |
| 2024 | 14-14-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' struggles against conference opponents stem from their inconsistent organizational identity and frequent roster turnover throughout the sample period. Washington has oscillated between contending and rebuilding modes, creating a team that often lacks the cohesive chemistry needed to exploit familiar divisional matchups. Unlike franchises with established systems, the Nationals have changed managers and front office personnel multiple times, preventing the development of consistent strategic approaches against known opponents. Conference games amplify Washington's tendency toward inconsistent pitching performances, particularly from their bullpen. Divisional opponents have extensive scouting reports on Nationals relievers, exploiting their mechanical tells and pitch sequencing patterns that become predictable over repeated exposure. The team's offensive approach also suffers against conference pitching staffs that have adjusted to their hitters' tendencies, leading to poorly timed slumps during crucial divisional series. The negative ROI reflects Washington's persistent issues with run differential management in tight conference games, where situational hitting and late-game execution become paramount. Bettors should exercise particular caution when backing the Nationals in divisional road series, where their struggles compound against familiar opponents playing with home-field advantage and detailed advance scouting reports.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Washington Nationals have a 152-173-1 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.8% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Nationals against conference opponents has not been profitable. The team shows a -10.7% ROI, meaning bettors would have lost approximately 10.7% of their investment over this timeframe.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the theoretical 50% break-even point for ATS betting. The 46.8% win rate and negative ROI indicate the Nationals have consistently failed to cover spreads against conference opponents at a rate worse than random chance.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.